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Millie Fox Stakes 2017 race preview
16 February 2017 10:41 AM
Rosehill was rated a Good 4 on Thursday morning but there's significant rain tipped on Friday and Saturday with the potential to quickly change that reading for Saturday racing. Race seven on the card is the Group 2 Mille Fox Stakes run over 1300m for fillies and mares.
The 1300m course starts half-way down the back striaght leaving runners 150m before entering the first turn. Historical barrier statistics show a significant bias towards the inside seven gates which represent a collective 80% strike rate. Barrier one starters in particular have close to a 20% strike rate over this course.
Form Analysis
9. Denmagic was very strong in the final stages at her recent outing from back in the field with 59kg. Form lines from that race are good and extra distance suits. Go well.
7. Euro Angel won well second-up in her previous campaign then didn't fire in the Myer Classic finishing outside a place for the first time in seven starts. Looked okay in her recent trial.
6. Artistry finished 1.3 lengths second first-up last preparation jumping from barrier 11 which is a terrible starting position to tackle the 1200m course at Rosehill. Won convincingly in G2 company the following start. Trialled well recently at Rosehill and has a good fresh record. Top chance.
2. In Her Time is 3 from 3 this preparation.Very resilient when holding off the well tried Egyptian Symbol at her previous outing. The draw is no help but still a contender.
9. Private Secretary. Recent win at the Gold Coast rates well from a wide barrier. Two runs prior to that were all from wide gates. Similar task ahead of her here. Can't dismiss.
13. Daysee Doom resumes for her first race at stakes level. Unbeaten on wet tracks. Place best.
5. Heavens Above finished within 2 lengths of the Epsom winner in the Spring. Won the G3 Sheraco over 1200m a few runs before that and 1.6 lengths fourth at 1300m first-up. Chance.
1. Single Gaze races for the first time since sustaining an injury last Autumn. Won the G2 Surround in that preparation at 1400m and the 3yo Magic Millions Guineas before that. Trialled well. Has enough ability to win.
11. I Am Zelady has been a mixed bag this preparation. Poor start then came close at the Gold Coast before a disappointing result at her recent outing where her recovery was noted as poor. Rather risk this time.
10. Circular wasn't bad fresh from the rear of the field without much pace on up front. Extra distance is suited and has a good second-up record. Not hopeless.
3. French Emotion. Disappointed first-up. Finished 2 lengths behind First Seal last preparation at 1400m. Can be competitive if right.
4. Tsarista wasn't disgraced when 2.6 lengths sixth fresh. Will benefit from more ground and rain. Beat Denmagic over the mile last year. Chance.
12. Sold For Song had excuses at her two recent outings. Has form lines that suggests she can be competitive.
Betting Selections
Punters have a very open race to assess here with many possibilities. The challenge is made worse by the prospect of rain. Whatever your early analysis produces I recommend reassessing your selections in the race after seeing how the track is racing.
1st Denmagic. Like her first-up run coming into this. Well drawn and should get a good sit to come at them in the straight.
2nd Private Secretary. Needs to overcome the barrier. If Mellham gets her a nice trail without pitching too wide, she will be flying home.
3rd Heavens Above
Read the betting strategies of Australia's best punters on our betting systems and strategies resource page.
Mike Steward