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ATC Winter Cup 2016 race preview
01 July 2016 10:41 AM
The first of the two Listed races at Rosehill tomorrow is the ATC Winter Cup run over 2400m. This morning (Friday) the track was rated a Soft 5 and the rail will be out 7 metres for the entire circuit tightening the track further.
Tucanchoo has a seven-day turnaround after finishing a close second in the Tatt's Cup last Saturday which is good form for this race. Didn't threaten at his only 2400m start last preparation but his most recent 2200m efforts indicated he was doing well over the line and so should get further now. Top chance.
Foreign Prince is going well this preparation with his last two runs on heavy and a slow 7 respectively indicating that he is a strong improver. Gets out to 2400m for the first time here. Wetter the better.
Loophole. 5.5 kg turnaround on Foreign Prince here after running four lengths third over 2000m last start. Unknown beyond 2000m but wouldn't surprise to see him in the fight at the post.
Junoob wasn't great in the Tatt's Cup last start over 2200m finishing over 10 lengths last. A notch easier here but still needs to improve a lot to make any impact.
Jiayuguan hasn't finished closer than 6.6 lengths away from three runs this preparation. All runs were 2000m or less. She is 3-1-0 from six starts over this distance. Liked her second in the Xmas Cup in December 2016 when she finished a head away from Sir John Hawkwood. That effort again here goes close.
First Bloom mixes her form a bit. Put in a reasonable effort last start with no weight over 1800m. Finished miles behind the favourite here the start before that. Hard to have.
Swift Lady. Good win in easier grade last start. Will need to improve further to figure here.
1st Loophole. Reckon he will get the distance and with recent solid runs and weight relief, should be a tough contender.
2nd Tucanchoo
3rd Jiayugan
Mike Steward